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Red30
97712.1
36514.4
Blue27
6229.4
27211.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2324010203040503027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
Unranked
14.40.2
12.012.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
272
Unranked
11.40.2
12.712.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
977
Unranked
12.10.2
11.511.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
622
Unranked
9.40.2
11.511.3
Auto
Teleop
End