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Red26
40511.9
54010.9
Blue33
40411.7
33910.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424010203040502633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
405
Unranked
11.90.4
12.211.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
404
Unranked
11.70.4
12.613.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
540
Unranked
10.90.4
11.511.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
339
Unranked
10.50.4
11.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End