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Red45
33711.5
43511.7
Blue40
1909.3
28712.6
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22240103040504540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
Unranked
11.70.4
12.012.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
287
Unranked
12.60.4
11.611.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
337
Unranked
11.50.4
9.910.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
190
Unranked
9.30.4
11.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End