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Red30
83915.4
6229.4
Blue20
61215.7
9277.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423010203040503020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
Unranked
15.40.6
12.713.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
612
Unranked
15.70.6
13.212.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
622
Unranked
9.40.6
11.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
927
Unranked
7.50.6
10.09.4
Auto
Teleop
End