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Red20
82514.5
68611.4
Blue18
84513.6
34611.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242501020304050602018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
825
Unranked
14.52.2
14.512.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
845
Unranked
13.60.2
13.012.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
686
Unranked
11.40.2
12.512.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
346
Unranked
11.20.2
12.212.0
Auto
Teleop
End