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Red40
62314.2
76913.2
Blue20
78.9
40111.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2324010203040504020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
Unranked
14.21.3
10.311.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
401
Unranked
11.81.3
11.510.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
769
Unranked
13.21.3
12.613.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
7
Unranked
8.91.3
12.110.8
Auto
Teleop
End