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Red36
61215.7
40016.6
Blue20
61110.5
97610.9
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030403620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
400
Unranked
16.63.2
16.313.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
976
Unranked
10.90.2
10.911.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
612
Unranked
15.70.1
13.213.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
611
Unranked
10.50.6
10.511.1
Auto
Teleop
End