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Red28
92814.5
28712.6
Blue35
49712.5
92510.3
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030402835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
928
Unranked
14.52.8
14.511.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
497
Unranked
12.50.1
12.512.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
287
Unranked
12.62.2
13.811.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
925
Unranked
10.32.3
10.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End