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Red26
63810.4
84513.6
Blue32
40111.8
97513.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252101030402632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
845
Unranked
13.60.6
12.912.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
975
Unranked
13.20.6
11.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
638
Unranked
10.40.6
11.711.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
401
Unranked
11.80.6
10.310.8
Auto
Teleop
End