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Red15
11610.7
78.9
Blue45
58714.7
61412.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22270103040501545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116
Unranked
10.71.6
11.910.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
587
Unranked
14.71.6
12.614.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
7
Unranked
8.91.6
10.89.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
614
Unranked
12.81.6
13.915.5
Auto
Teleop
End