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Red46
92814.5
40511.9
Blue20
28410.4
76913.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252701020304050604620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
928
Unranked
14.51.7
13.615.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
769
Unranked
13.21.7
13.411.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
405
Unranked
11.91.7
11.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
284
Unranked
10.41.7
13.211.5
Auto
Teleop
End