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Red20
6167.4
28118.7
Blue24
82514.5
4148.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3220010405060702024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
Unranked
18.70.6
18.317.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
825
Unranked
14.50.6
12.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
616
Unranked
7.40.6
10.710.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
414
Unranked
8.90.6
10.010.6
Auto
Teleop
End