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Red20
27211.4
22513.0
Blue34
62314.2
63810.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2223010304050602034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
Unranked
13.00.8
12.311.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
623
Unranked
14.20.8
11.912.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
272
Unranked
11.40.8
10.19.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
638
Unranked
10.40.8
11.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End