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Red31
58714.7
90513.3
Blue31
42213.7
6437.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2920010405060703131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
Unranked
14.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
422
Unranked
13.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
905
Unranked
13.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
643
Unranked
7.4
Auto
Teleop
End