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Red20
12212.8
61110.5
Blue36
39815.7
84513.6
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21290104050602036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
Unranked
12.80.8
11.711.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
398
Unranked
15.70.8
13.914.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
611
Unranked
10.50.8
11.510.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
845
Unranked
13.60.8
13.013.8
Auto
Teleop
End