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Red35
90015.5
51014.8
Blue10
6229.4
34112.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2329010204050603510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
Unranked
15.51.7
11.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
341
Unranked
12.21.7
14.913.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
510
Unranked
14.81.7
12.714.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
622
Unranked
9.41.7
12.310.6
Auto
Teleop
End