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Red20
61712.3
33711.5
Blue27
40411.7
76812.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21230103040502027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
617
Unranked
12.30.4
10.810.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
768
Unranked
12.40.4
11.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
337
Unranked
11.50.4
10.610.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
404
Unranked
11.70.4
11.211.6
Auto
Teleop
End