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Red54
95314.9
49213.6
48811.8
Blue0
9489.9
37411.3
63312.8
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39350206080540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
953
Unranked
14.90.7
14.315.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
633
Unranked
12.80.8
13.612.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
492
Unranked
13.60.7
13.013.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
374
Unranked
11.30.7
11.911.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
488
Unranked
11.80.8
11.212.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
948
Unranked
9.90.8
10.69.8
Auto
Teleop
End