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Red20
2216.2
80014.0
95511.8
Blue50
95314.9
49213.6
48811.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444001001502002050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22
Unranked
16.20.4
16.716.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
953
Unranked
14.90.4
15.215.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
800
Unranked
14.00.4
14.514.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
492
Unranked
13.60.4
13.914.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
955
Unranked
11.80.4
12.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
488
Unranked
11.80.5
12.112.6
Auto
Teleop
End