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Red38
48811.8
95511.8
Blue16
649.5
44311.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173004060803816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
Unranked
11.81.8
9.911.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
443
Unranked
11.71.8
14.913.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
488
Unranked
11.81.8
9.811.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
64
Unranked
9.51.8
12.010.1
Auto
Teleop
End