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Red25
95016.6
82413.8
Blue10
69112.1
84713.8
50%Model gave it50%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26261015203035402510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
950
Unranked
16.60.9
13.914.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
847
Unranked
13.80.9
12.011.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
824
Unranked
13.80.9
11.912.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
691
Unranked
12.10.9
13.612.6
Auto
Teleop
End