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Red16
49213.6
96111.9
Blue27
95912.1
69112.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27240204060801627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
Unranked
13.60.7
13.913.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
959
Unranked
12.10.7
12.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
961
Unranked
11.90.8
12.411.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
691
Unranked
12.10.7
12.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End