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Red40
2216.2
80014.0
Blue20
75312.0
63312.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2625010203040506070804020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22
Unranked
16.21.2
13.815.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
633
Unranked
12.81.1
14.613.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
800
Unranked
14.01.1
12.413.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
753
Unranked
12.01.1
11.110.0
Auto
Teleop
End