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Red20
9577.7
95314.9
Blue45
82413.8
95614.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212704060801002045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
953
Unranked
14.91.3
14.413.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
956
Unranked
14.11.3
12.613.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
957
Unranked
7.71.3
7.76.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
824
Unranked
13.81.3
13.114.3
Auto
Teleop
End