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Red39
83314.9
15914.1
Blue11
95411.8
6289.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182904060801003911

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
833
Unranked
14.92.0
10.112.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
954
Unranked
11.82.2
13.811.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
159
Unranked
14.12.0
10.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
628
Unranked
9.92.0
13.011.0
Auto
Teleop
End