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Red14
9606.8
99818.1
Blue21
37411.3
95511.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272104060801421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
998
Unranked
18.10.5
18.618.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
955
Unranked
11.80.5
10.911.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
960
Unranked
6.80.5
7.36.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
374
Unranked
11.30.5
11.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End