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Red20
5689.5
49213.6
Blue33
96111.9
82413.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23250501001502002033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
Unranked
13.60.5
13.613.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
824
Unranked
13.80.5
13.514.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
568
Unranked
9.50.6
10.09.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
961
Unranked
11.90.6
11.412.0
Auto
Teleop
End