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Red4
105512.4
1775.9
Blue86
12527.5
7529.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25480406080100120140486

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1055
Unranked
12.42.4
14.512.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.4
75
Unranked
29.82.2
21.623.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
177
Unranked
5.92.2
10.17.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.6
125
Unranked
27.52.2
26.829.0
Auto
Teleop
End