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Red15
22232.1
50731.3
Blue20
64721.6
55712.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions652702040801001201401601520

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
Unranked
32.11.6
31.529.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
647
Unranked
21.61.6
19.521.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
507
Unranked
31.31.6
33.932.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.4
557
Unranked
12.92.0
8.010.0
Auto
Teleop
End