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Red11
98024.3
1775.9
Blue62
21113.5
19017.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321804060801001162

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
980
Unranked
24.32.4
23.821.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
190
Unranked
17.22.4
10.813.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
177
Unranked
5.92.4
7.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
211
Unranked
13.52.7
7.710.4
Auto
Teleop
End