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Red64
19017.2
28125.9
Blue77
1118.5
61826.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394701001502006477

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
Unranked
25.90.2
25.825.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
618
Unranked
26.40.2
29.729.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
190
Unranked
17.20.2
13.213.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
11
Unranked
18.50.2
17.517.7
Auto
Teleop
End