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Red45
43328.3
115825.0
Blue47
22624.6
53515.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493702060801001201404547

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
433
Unranked
28.30.5
28.127.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
226
Unranked
24.60.5
24.324.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1158
Unranked
25.00.5
21.420.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
535
Unranked
15.60.5
12.713.2
Auto
Teleop
End