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Red33
99127.4
62415.5
Blue101
101124.9
87420.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5032010015020033101

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
991
Unranked
27.45.4
27.522.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1011
Unranked
24.95.4
21.526.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
624
Unranked
15.55.4
22.116.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
874
Unranked
20.05.4
10.415.7
Auto
Teleop
End