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Red77
98919.6
121221.1
Blue76
20725.3
81214.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453202060801001201401607776

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1212
Unranked
21.10.7
22.021.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
207
Unranked
25.30.7
22.623.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
989
Unranked
19.60.7
22.722.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
812
Unranked
14.40.7
9.710.4
Auto
Teleop
End