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Red69
5726.7
11505.3
Blue32
19224.3
89813.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423901001502002506932

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57
Unranked
26.72.1
24.026.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
192
Unranked
24.32.1
21.519.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1150
Unranked
5.310.7
9.720.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
898
Unranked
13.82.1
17.415.3
Auto
Teleop
End