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Red45
988-0.3
96829.0
Blue6
81214.4
9629.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3531050100150200250456

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
Unranked
29.02.2
19.421.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.5
812
Unranked
14.42.2
13.211.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
988
Unranked
-0.32.2
15.717.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
962
Unranked
9.52.2
17.515.3
Auto
Teleop
End