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Red104
89813.8
98726.6
Blue5
6069.7
19224.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2538060801001201045

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
Unranked
26.66.5
18.224.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
192
Unranked
24.36.5
26.920.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
898
Unranked
13.86.5
6.613.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
606
Unranked
9.76.5
10.84.3
Auto
Teleop
End