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Red127
99127.4
49815.8
Blue13
11505.3
9629.5
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3828020608010012014016012713

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
991
Unranked
27.46.1
21.427.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.0
962
Unranked
9.56.1
16.610.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
498
Unranked
15.86.1
16.122.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
1150
Unranked
5.36.1
11.45.3
Auto
Teleop
End