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Red110
57124.1
17339.7
Blue10
23013.4
12628.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61450208010012014016011010

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
Unranked
39.71.3
37.839.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
126
Unranked
28.31.1
30.028.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
571
Unranked
24.11.4
22.724.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
230
Unranked
13.41.3
14.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End