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Red56
80911.4
17339.7
Blue8
3817.5
12628.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50470100150200250300350568

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
Unranked
39.70.7
39.139.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
126
Unranked
28.30.6
28.928.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
809
Unranked
11.40.7
10.711.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
38
Unranked
17.50.7
18.217.5
Auto
Teleop
End