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Red34
25022.2
1788.6
Blue47
112418.8
20912.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32330102040506070803447

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250
Unranked
22.20.2
22.922.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1124
Unranked
18.80.2
19.019.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
178
Unranked
8.60.2
9.99.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
209
Unranked
12.40.2
12.612.9
Auto
Teleop
End