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Red32
9626.2
57124.1
Blue4
87020.7
6636.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5031020406080100120140160324

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96
Unranked
26.20.5
29.630.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
870
Unranked
20.70.5
22.021.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
571
Unranked
24.10.5
20.621.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.4
663
Unranked
6.70.5
8.78.1
Auto
Teleop
End