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Red20
19519.1
16635.8
Blue45
15730.3
5217.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions572902040801001201402045

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
Unranked
35.82.0
34.832.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
157
Unranked
30.32.0
22.324.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
195
Unranked
19.13.3
21.718.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
521
Unranked
7.03.3
6.910.2
Auto
Teleop
End