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Red47
17527.4
10719.8
Blue69
110012.2
18116.0
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51290204060801001201404769

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
Unranked
27.41.6
27.125.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
181
Unranked
16.02.7
12.815.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1071
Unranked
9.82.7
24.121.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
1100
Unranked
12.22.7
16.719.4
Auto
Teleop
End