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Red71
4910.5
12628.3
Blue6
1788.6
29621.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2933020406080100120716

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
Unranked
28.32.6
24.326.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
296
Unranked
21.02.6
24.622.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
491
Unranked
0.54.3
4.58.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
178
Unranked
8.64.3
8.23.8
Auto
Teleop
End