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Red30
19121.4
102314.1
Blue39
98720.6
53726.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374602060801001201403039

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
Unranked
21.40.0
21.921.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
537
Unranked
26.20.0
24.824.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1023
Unranked
14.10.0
15.415.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
987
Unranked
20.60.0
21.321.3
Auto
Teleop
End