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Red18
6620.1
100514.8
Blue33
3219.3
18829.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383902060801001201401601833

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
Unranked
20.10.5
20.820.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
188
Unranked
29.70.5
31.131.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1005
Unranked
14.80.5
17.016.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
321
Unranked
9.30.5
8.08.6
Auto
Teleop
End