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Red7
7918.3
23339.1
Blue2
21226.9
10825.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55552040608072

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
Unranked
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
212
Unranked
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
79
Unranked
18.30.0
18.318.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
108
Unranked
25.80.0
25.825.8
Auto
Teleop
End