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Red7
7918.3
23339.1
Blue84
21226.9
10825.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60500100150200250784

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
Unranked
39.11.3
40.539.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
212
Unranked
26.91.3
25.626.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
79
Unranked
18.31.1
19.418.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
108
Unranked
25.81.3
24.525.8
Auto
Teleop
End