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Red39
6141.0
66532.2
Blue7
21226.9
10825.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73480100150200397

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
Unranked
41.00.1
40.941.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
212
Unranked
26.90.1
24.424.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
665
Unranked
32.20.1
32.132.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
108
Unranked
25.80.1
23.423.3
Auto
Teleop
End